The Game of World Domination
Well... It started out as a random blog but now, I think I am sort of 'serialising' them.
First the IDF, then Hezbollah now the Power Play... Well... I have my own serialisation too.
But mainly, the players here are:
a) The USA
b) EU
c) Shiites
d) China?
e) Russia
It is no secret that US, under the Bush administration has always taken a proactive stand in promoting democracy around the world. (Or so to further its interests)
The latest twist in the Isarel and Lebanon conflicts only signifies the on going war for being the 'big brother' in world affairs. Well, it is true that the conflicts started because of Hezbollah kiddnapping the IDF troops, but hey, the IDF are no innocent to this deed too. One can only recall that it is only in the beginning of this year where the IDF stage a dramatic prison seige to captured terrorists heads as they believed that Hamas will free them when they took over the government.
It is nevertheless, safe to say that the current Isarel government is Hwakish and more belligerent than the norm. So when the kidnapping starts, they decided that negotiation with Hezbollah is a no-go and well, started their own war.
Now, we have enough of the history, but let's go on to the focus of today, who will be the ultimate winner of this war?
I have to conclude that it would be the USA. And my passage below will explain more.
Prior to the this conflicting, the world main concern has been Iran and North Korea. Both of them loudly proclaiming their nuclear rights with N.Korea test firing a longer range ballastic missle and Iran keen to proceed on to acquire nuclear technology.
Iran has even threatened US interest in the region if the US will ever to think of a pre-emptive strike. From what I see, the Iran mode of retailiation will be via 1) influence the Hezbollah, and 2) In Iraq.
Hezbollah has been a labelled as an terrorist in the US context, but not the EU context. (pretty amazing right?) And currently, with the IDF strikes in Lebanon, Hezbollah, even if not crippled is severly tightened by this situation. The focus of Hezbollah will be Isarel and now, they will equate Isarel interests as US interests, although this will not be true. However, the US won't mind this a bit at all.
Firstly, the next few years the Hezbollah will most likely to be serverly crippled. A UN peace keeping troop is going to be stationed there together with the Lebanonese army. This implicates that Hezbollah is no longer going to have a free reign in the South of Lebanon. Secondly, Hezbollah weapon cache are being destroyed. Thirdly, with a weaken Hezbollah, the US now has less concern with Syria and Iran. These two we knows are anti-US. However, they would not want a direct confrontation with the US preferring to exercise their options through other channels. Hezbollah being one of these channel.
From now, the Iraq situation is in tatters, but we should also see that there is more and more a sign that the US are already planning an exit strategy in Iraq as they prepare to hand over the defense of Iraq to the Iraqi's government.
What this war has achieved is that effectively, Iran option to retailiates against US interest are now getting more and more limited. When the US pulls out of Iraq, the option will further more be squeezed. Now, with the possibility of retailiation against the US being at a minimum risk, what would it stops the US from firing a few missiles at the Iran Nuclear Reactors? The US have demonstrated a past passion for acting unconditionally and as seen in Saddam's Iraq, missile were fired to destroyed Iraq nuclear facilities. We might be seeing that in the future.
China currently does not seem to be in the equation. The current situation in the Middle East favors US more than China. As seen before, Isarel and China were getting real cozy before the war with Isarel even keen on selling high tech weapons to China. Secretly, the US must be pleased when Isarel bombed and killed a China UN representative in the Middle East.
To bring China into context, we would need to take a look at a look of the world, literally. World Map. In the long term, the US China strategy is to enveloped the China with countries of its allies while the China counter strategy is to counter this. this has lead to a interesting situation in the countries around China.
As we can see, Japan is the start of the envelope, then South Korea, Taiwan, Phillipines, Thailand, India and Afghanistan.
Interestingly, China is having a counter strtegy with allies in its region including N. Korea, Pakistan, Iran and the 4 countries in the North Western area of China.
People might wonder why did I not include Russia in the picture. Basically, currently Russia might seems to be an ally to China then the US, but Russia will always act/do not act to maximise its own potential interest. In short, it acts to maximise profit. Hence, I will not put it into the context here.
The Isarel-Lebanon conflicts the US. Firstly, it brings Isarel closer to the US, hence breaking up the cozy relation that Isarel had with China. Secondly, it becomes a source of external revenue for the US. Now that Isarel is using its ammunitions and weapon and such, who can it go for when it wants replacement? As seen here, the US is more than happy to supply Isarel with such ammunition as shows when it rushes a supply of missle tothe Isarel.
For now, China main objective is to capture resources for its long term economy growth. As a 'weaker' of the powers, it will seek an economic situation and seeks to avoid political ones. However, as the world resourcess are limited, this put China in a direct conflict with the US and in a smaller sense, EU. Hence, the current situation in the Middle East will benefit US more. In short, a chaotic situation will benefit US more than China
So as the dice rolls, and the games continues. We will have bombs falling and people dying. Orphans are borned. Widows, Widowers flood the streets. Civilians crisis mounts.
All this while the politicians tries to maximise their own interest, carrying out slogans to hide their true intentions.
And the game continues...
First the IDF, then Hezbollah now the Power Play... Well... I have my own serialisation too.
But mainly, the players here are:
a) The USA
b) EU
c) Shiites
d) China?
e) Russia
It is no secret that US, under the Bush administration has always taken a proactive stand in promoting democracy around the world. (Or so to further its interests)
The latest twist in the Isarel and Lebanon conflicts only signifies the on going war for being the 'big brother' in world affairs. Well, it is true that the conflicts started because of Hezbollah kiddnapping the IDF troops, but hey, the IDF are no innocent to this deed too. One can only recall that it is only in the beginning of this year where the IDF stage a dramatic prison seige to captured terrorists heads as they believed that Hamas will free them when they took over the government.
It is nevertheless, safe to say that the current Isarel government is Hwakish and more belligerent than the norm. So when the kidnapping starts, they decided that negotiation with Hezbollah is a no-go and well, started their own war.
Now, we have enough of the history, but let's go on to the focus of today, who will be the ultimate winner of this war?
I have to conclude that it would be the USA. And my passage below will explain more.
Prior to the this conflicting, the world main concern has been Iran and North Korea. Both of them loudly proclaiming their nuclear rights with N.Korea test firing a longer range ballastic missle and Iran keen to proceed on to acquire nuclear technology.
Iran has even threatened US interest in the region if the US will ever to think of a pre-emptive strike. From what I see, the Iran mode of retailiation will be via 1) influence the Hezbollah, and 2) In Iraq.
Hezbollah has been a labelled as an terrorist in the US context, but not the EU context. (pretty amazing right?) And currently, with the IDF strikes in Lebanon, Hezbollah, even if not crippled is severly tightened by this situation. The focus of Hezbollah will be Isarel and now, they will equate Isarel interests as US interests, although this will not be true. However, the US won't mind this a bit at all.
Firstly, the next few years the Hezbollah will most likely to be serverly crippled. A UN peace keeping troop is going to be stationed there together with the Lebanonese army. This implicates that Hezbollah is no longer going to have a free reign in the South of Lebanon. Secondly, Hezbollah weapon cache are being destroyed. Thirdly, with a weaken Hezbollah, the US now has less concern with Syria and Iran. These two we knows are anti-US. However, they would not want a direct confrontation with the US preferring to exercise their options through other channels. Hezbollah being one of these channel.
From now, the Iraq situation is in tatters, but we should also see that there is more and more a sign that the US are already planning an exit strategy in Iraq as they prepare to hand over the defense of Iraq to the Iraqi's government.
What this war has achieved is that effectively, Iran option to retailiates against US interest are now getting more and more limited. When the US pulls out of Iraq, the option will further more be squeezed. Now, with the possibility of retailiation against the US being at a minimum risk, what would it stops the US from firing a few missiles at the Iran Nuclear Reactors? The US have demonstrated a past passion for acting unconditionally and as seen in Saddam's Iraq, missile were fired to destroyed Iraq nuclear facilities. We might be seeing that in the future.
China currently does not seem to be in the equation. The current situation in the Middle East favors US more than China. As seen before, Isarel and China were getting real cozy before the war with Isarel even keen on selling high tech weapons to China. Secretly, the US must be pleased when Isarel bombed and killed a China UN representative in the Middle East.
To bring China into context, we would need to take a look at a look of the world, literally. World Map. In the long term, the US China strategy is to enveloped the China with countries of its allies while the China counter strategy is to counter this. this has lead to a interesting situation in the countries around China.
As we can see, Japan is the start of the envelope, then South Korea, Taiwan, Phillipines, Thailand, India and Afghanistan.
Interestingly, China is having a counter strtegy with allies in its region including N. Korea, Pakistan, Iran and the 4 countries in the North Western area of China.
People might wonder why did I not include Russia in the picture. Basically, currently Russia might seems to be an ally to China then the US, but Russia will always act/do not act to maximise its own potential interest. In short, it acts to maximise profit. Hence, I will not put it into the context here.
The Isarel-Lebanon conflicts the US. Firstly, it brings Isarel closer to the US, hence breaking up the cozy relation that Isarel had with China. Secondly, it becomes a source of external revenue for the US. Now that Isarel is using its ammunitions and weapon and such, who can it go for when it wants replacement? As seen here, the US is more than happy to supply Isarel with such ammunition as shows when it rushes a supply of missle tothe Isarel.
For now, China main objective is to capture resources for its long term economy growth. As a 'weaker' of the powers, it will seek an economic situation and seeks to avoid political ones. However, as the world resourcess are limited, this put China in a direct conflict with the US and in a smaller sense, EU. Hence, the current situation in the Middle East will benefit US more. In short, a chaotic situation will benefit US more than China
So as the dice rolls, and the games continues. We will have bombs falling and people dying. Orphans are borned. Widows, Widowers flood the streets. Civilians crisis mounts.
All this while the politicians tries to maximise their own interest, carrying out slogans to hide their true intentions.
And the game continues...
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